Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Observations on the 2016 Iowa Caucus

Here are my quick observations of the 2016 Iowa Caucus:

  • Yes, Ted Cruz won with the majority of caucus votes.  However, he only one 8 delegates with Donald Trump getting 7, Marco Rubio getting 7, Ben Carson getting 3, and Rand Paul getting 1.  And at the end of the day, it is the delegate count that matters.
  • Given the delegate count, right now Cruz, Trump, and Rubio are neck and neck in the race.  Any reports saying that Trump should drop out (and there are many) are foolish at best.
  • The 50/50 split between Bernie Sanders and Hilary Clinton is interesting.  I was pretty sure that Hilary had the nomination in the bag, but now I’m not so sure.  The fact that a guy who looks like your creepy great uncle who smells like pee can tie with the Clinton machine shows you just how much Hilary is disliked in her own party.
  • As of this post, Rand Paul has bowed out of the race.  I wanted to like this guy but he played around with the other side.  On the flip side, maybe he can do more filibusters in the Senate.
  • Yes, Iowa hasn’t picked the nominee for the Republican side since 2000.  But that doesn’t mean that Cruz won’t win.  Still, Trump doesn’t strike as someone who is giving up, especially considering he is nearly tied with Cruz after all.
  • Still not sure how Rubio got so many votes.  I’ve heard speculation of voter fraud perpetrated by Microsoft but there’s no real proof of this.  It should at least be investigated.
  • Martin O’Malley should just drop out now.  He stands no chance to win.
  • Likewise, Jeb Bush and anyone who did worse than Ben Carson should drop out as well.
  • Why are there so many candidates on the Republican side but so few on the Democrat side?

That’s about it.  I still believe that Trump will win the nomination and, like I’ve indicated, it’s still too close to call.